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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| franeotb | texastechbooster | LuckyWin | Satanishippie | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 65% (48–26, n=74) | 47% (134–154, n=288) | 88% (726–102, n=828) | 49% (320–335, n=655) |
| Consensus PnL | $24K | $80K | $30K | -$105K |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #940 | was PM monthly #579 | was PM monthly #917 |
| Sides with the consensus | 33% (1 of 3 open) | 0% (0 of 2 open) | 71% (5 of 7 open) | 25% (1 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | Soccer −9 pts, n=46 | NBA −7 pts, n=48 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 147 at avg 67¢, ROI +24% | 47% of 250 at avg 47¢, ROI +2% | 88% of 770 at avg 88¢, ROI 0% | 83% of 384 at avg 56¢, ROI +28% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 70% of 10) | 18% (won 18% of 44) | 7% (won 8% of 51) | 2% (won 44% of 9) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 12% (won 100% of 17) | 35% (won 47% of 88) | 4% (won 42% of 33) | 21% (won 73% of 80) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 31% (won 98% of 45) | 40% (won 53% of 101) | 6% (won 55% of 49) | 67% (won 86% of 257) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 51% (won 100% of 75) | 7% (won 88% of 17) | 83% (won 99% of 637) | 10% (won 89% of 38) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | franeotb | texastechbooster | LuckyWin | Satanishippie |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $5.4K | Yes $1 | — |