PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
franeotbtexastechbooster0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188SmallFishInWhaleStomach
Record (consensus markets)65% (48–26, n=74)47% (134–154, n=288)no settled market89% (124–15, n=139)
Consensus PnL$24K$80K—$97K
Tracked asHand-pickedwas PM monthly #940was PM monthly #715PM monthly #961
Sides with the consensus33% (1 of 3 open)0% (0 of 2 open)no open consensus position100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • Esports +3 pts n=153, ROI +2%
  • NHL +8 pts n=14, ROI −14%
  • NHL +4 pts n=195, ROI +5%
Weakest topic—Soccer −9 pts, n=46College Basketball −13 pts, n=165Geopolitics −1 pts, n=45
Settled positions, side won97% of 147 at avg 67¢, ROI +24%47% of 250 at avg 47¢, ROI +2%49% of 1307 at avg 50¢, ROI −2%86% of 157 at avg 80¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 70% of 10)18% (won 18% of 44)0% (won 17% of 6)8% (won 8% of 13)
Entries 30–50¢12% (won 100% of 17)35% (won 47% of 88)42% (won 46% of 553)8% (won 62% of 13)
Entries 50–70¢31% (won 98% of 45)40% (won 53% of 101)57% (won 51% of 744)9% (won 64% of 14)
Entries 70¢ and up51% (won 100% of 75)7% (won 88% of 17)0% (won 100% of 4)75% (won 100% of 117)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketfraneotbtexastechbooster0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188SmallFishInWhaleStomach
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $5.4K—Yes $1.9K