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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| franeotb | texastechbooster | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | LuckyWin | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 65% (48–26, n=74) | 47% (134–154, n=288) | no settled market | 88% (726–102, n=828) |
| Consensus PnL | $24K | $80K | — | $30K |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #940 | was PM monthly #715 | was PM monthly #579 |
| Sides with the consensus | 33% (1 of 3 open) | 0% (0 of 2 open) | no open consensus position | 71% (5 of 7 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | Soccer −9 pts, n=46 | College Basketball −13 pts, n=165 | NBA −7 pts, n=48 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 147 at avg 67¢, ROI +24% | 47% of 250 at avg 47¢, ROI +2% | 49% of 1307 at avg 50¢, ROI −2% | 88% of 770 at avg 88¢, ROI 0% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 70% of 10) | 18% (won 18% of 44) | 0% (won 17% of 6) | 7% (won 8% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 12% (won 100% of 17) | 35% (won 47% of 88) | 42% (won 46% of 553) | 4% (won 42% of 33) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 31% (won 98% of 45) | 40% (won 53% of 101) | 57% (won 51% of 744) | 6% (won 55% of 49) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 51% (won 100% of 75) | 7% (won 88% of 17) | 0% (won 100% of 4) | 83% (won 99% of 637) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | franeotb | texastechbooster | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | LuckyWin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $5.4K | — | Yes $1 |