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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| HomeRunHazard | robustmst | SineNooneEI | swiftfoxsfather | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (233–198, n=431) | 42% (13–18, n=31) | 50% (5–5, n=10) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | $261K | $208K | $183K | $0 |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #28 | PM monthly #79 | was PM monthly #999 |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (69 of 103 open) | no open consensus position | 50% (1 of 2 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | not computed yet |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | 100% of 13 at avg 45¢, ROI +50% | 100% of 4 at avg 51¢, ROI +50% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 0% | 0% | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 32% (won 100% of 31) | 85% (won 100% of 11) | 50% (won 100% of 2) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 57% (won 100% of 55) | 15% (won 100% of 2) | 50% (won 100% of 2) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 10% (won 100% of 10) | 0% | 0% | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | HomeRunHazard | robustmst | SineNooneEI | swiftfoxsfather |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Magic (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Magic $13K | — | Jazz $33K | — |