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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
HauchnkeeptheblueflagflyinghighQuantumPebble673
Record (consensus markets)no settled market42% (44–60, n=104)no settled market
Consensus PnL$117K$118K—
Tracked asPM monthly #143PM monthly #39PM monthly #949
Sides with the consensus50% (7 of 14 open)68% (19 of 28 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NBA +52 pts n=428, ROI +51%
  • NHL +44 pts n=75, ROI +43%
  • Tennis +43 pts n=87, ROI +48%
not computed yet
Weakest topicFinance −1 pts, n=121——
Settled positions, side won10% of 122 at avg 11¢, ROI −2%100% of 691 at avg 51¢, ROI +48%—
Entries under 30¢89% (won 2% of 108)2% (won 100% of 16)—
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 43% of 7)49% (won 100% of 338)—
Entries 50–70¢1% (won 100% of 1)40% (won 100% of 278)—
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 100% of 6)9% (won 100% of 59)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.