PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
GoalLineGhoststd0ccllarb2d0
Record (consensus markets)59% (3022–2075, n=5097)95% (9882–509, n=10391)46% (372–431, n=803)50% (1–1, n=2)
Consensus PnL$26.8M$34K$12K$144K
Tracked asPM monthly #133was PM monthly #985was PM monthly #1000Hand-picked
Sides with the consensus61% (33 of 54 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +31 pts n=3100, ROI +22%
  • Crypto +45 pts n=5979, ROI +46%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won99% of 3100 at avg 68¢, ROI +22%99% of 5979 at avg 53¢, ROI +46%98% of 388 at avg 56¢, ROI +39%80% of 10 at avg 86¢, ROI +8%
Entries under 30¢9% (won 94% of 286)1% (won 45% of 65)5% (won 86% of 21)0%
Entries 30–50¢11% (won 98% of 330)15% (won 98% of 885)28% (won 97% of 109)0%
Entries 50–70¢22% (won 99% of 697)78% (won 100% of 4649)44% (won 99% of 172)0%
Entries 70¢ and up58% (won 100% of 1787)6% (won 96% of 380)22% (won 100% of 86)100% (won 80% of 10)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.