PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
GoalLineGhostb2d00xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592Bonereaper
Record (consensus markets)59% (3022–2075, n=5097)50% (1–1, n=2)92% (701–63, n=764)82% (29047–6417, n=35464)
Consensus PnL$26.8M$144K$14.3M$8.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #133Hand-pickedwas PM monthly #999PM monthly #234
Sides with the consensus61% (33 of 54 open)100% (1 of 1 open)0% (0 of 1 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +31 pts n=3100, ROI +22%
none with 10+ settled
  • Soccer +40 pts n=127, ROI +37%
  • Crypto +32 pts n=26036, ROI +26%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won99% of 3100 at avg 68¢, ROI +22%80% of 10 at avg 86¢, ROI +8%99% of 731 at avg 59¢, ROI +42%98% of 26166 at avg 65¢, ROI +26%
Entries under 30¢9% (won 94% of 286)0%2% (won 100% of 14)4% (won 79% of 981)
Entries 30–50¢11% (won 98% of 330)0%15% (won 97% of 113)17% (won 95% of 4468)
Entries 50–70¢22% (won 99% of 697)0%65% (won 99% of 477)37% (won 98% of 9713)
Entries 70¢ and up58% (won 100% of 1787)100% (won 80% of 10)17% (won 100% of 127)42% (won 100% of 11004)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.