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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
GaditimasainttroplayBreakTheBank00gringo00
Record (consensus markets)46% (3464–4027, n=7491)71% (10–4, n=14)45% (501–606, n=1107)75% (6–2, n=8)
Consensus PnL-$206K$4.4M$9.6M$3.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #391was PM monthly #11PM monthly #1was PM monthly #19
Sides with the consensus42% (71 of 169 open)no open consensus position73% (24 of 33 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +50 pts n=112, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=63, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=275, ROI +38%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%98% of 494 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%
Entries under 30¢—0%11% (won 87% of 52)0%
Entries 30–50¢—50% (won 100% of 5)34% (won 98% of 169)0%
Entries 50–70¢—50% (won 100% of 5)34% (won 99% of 170)100% (won 86% of 7)
Entries 70¢ and up—0%21% (won 100% of 103)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketGaditimasainttroplayBreakTheBank00gringo00
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $3.6K—Yes $4.6K—
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $944—Yes $5.4K—
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $923—Yes $34K—
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $191—Yes $4.8K—
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $18—Yes $3.3K—