PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FeedTheBigBirdalexubetGr33d0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592
Record (consensus markets)51% (30–29, n=59)46% (56–65, n=121)89% (2106–259, n=2365)92% (701–62, n=763)
Consensus PnL$6.5K$171K$35K$14.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #904PM monthly #741Hand-pickedwas PM monthly #999
Sides with the consensus50% (1 of 2 open)0% (0 of 2 open)63% (5 of 8 open)0% (0 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——NFL −7 pts, n=53—
Settled positions, side won97% of 29 at avg 53¢, ROI +46%50% of 139 at avg 47¢, ROI +1%92% of 3431 at avg 91¢, ROI 0%99% of 731 at avg 59¢, ROI +42%
Entries under 30¢0%8% (won 45% of 11)3% (won 14% of 107)2% (won 100% of 14)
Entries 30–50¢34% (won 90% of 10)50% (won 53% of 70)1% (won 48% of 44)15% (won 97% of 113)
Entries 50–70¢62% (won 100% of 18)38% (won 45% of 53)5% (won 59% of 168)65% (won 99% of 477)
Entries 70¢ and up3% (won 100% of 1)4% (won 80% of 5)91% (won 98% of 3112)17% (won 100% of 127)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.