PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Executor398hymolu0x75d1B199a96801338e67a6eFAa35C0028eA87A5F-1770658242710Ahpo
Record (consensus markets)no settled market96% (23–1, n=24)49% (1212–1267, n=2479)95% (1530–85, n=1615)
Consensus PnL—$120K$60K$124K
Tracked asPM monthly #499was PM monthly #944Hand-pickedwas PM monthly #861
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 2 open)100% (5 of 5 open)25% (3 of 12 open)100% (13 of 13 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic——Politics −6 pts, n=74—
Settled positions, side won78% of 73 at avg 27¢, ROI +32%96% of 24 at avg 91¢, ROI +9%55% of 1049 at avg 50¢, ROI +8%92% of 1836 at avg 88¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢77% (won 75% of 56)4% (won 0% of 1)24% (won 19% of 254)5% (won 14% of 97)
Entries 30–50¢5% (won 75% of 4)0%23% (won 40% of 241)3% (won 60% of 55)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 88% of 8)0%29% (won 70% of 304)6% (won 67% of 102)
Entries 70¢ and up7% (won 100% of 5)96% (won 100% of 23)24% (won 89% of 250)86% (won 99% of 1582)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.