PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Executor3980x75d1B199a96801338e67a6eFAa35C0028eA87A5F-17706582427100b1calm919
Record (consensus markets)no settled market49% (1212–1267, n=2479)89% (211–26, n=237)89% (226–28, n=254)
Consensus PnL—$60K$95K$14K
Tracked asPM monthly #499Hand-pickedwas PM monthly #826PM monthly #754
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 2 open)25% (3 of 12 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
Weakest topic—Politics −6 pts, n=74Tennis −2 pts, n=107—
Settled positions, side won78% of 73 at avg 27¢, ROI +32%55% of 1049 at avg 50¢, ROI +8%90% of 225 at avg 90¢, ROI +1%92% of 239 at avg 71¢, ROI +22%
Entries under 30¢77% (won 75% of 56)24% (won 19% of 254)0%0%
Entries 30–50¢5% (won 75% of 4)23% (won 40% of 241)1% (won 0% of 2)11% (won 69% of 26)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 88% of 8)29% (won 70% of 304)4% (won 25% of 8)32% (won 93% of 76)
Entries 70¢ and up7% (won 100% of 5)24% (won 89% of 250)96% (won 93% of 215)57% (won 96% of 137)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.