PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
XYZ7676timingiskeyhalanddd123R88N
Record (consensus markets)51% (121–114, n=235)87% (58–9, n=67)49% (92–96, n=188)88% (98–13, n=111)
Consensus PnL$58K-$21K$10K$213K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #992PM monthly #556was PM monthly #399was PM monthly #458
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won65% of 166 at avg 48¢, ROI +18%50% of 8 at avg 95¢, ROI −84%79% of 170 at avg 72¢, ROI +7%100% of 69 at avg 55¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢14% (won 25% of 24)0%0%6% (won 100% of 4)
Entries 30–50¢31% (won 59% of 51)0%4% (won 29% of 7)36% (won 100% of 25)
Entries 50–70¢51% (won 79% of 84)0%41% (won 72% of 69)43% (won 100% of 30)
Entries 70¢ and up4% (won 86% of 7)100% (won 50% of 8)55% (won 88% of 94)14% (won 100% of 10)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.