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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| EMCSQ | theta-thunberg | 0xc1a9273b15a17d21AF09DddB42b9239B93D4e2Db-1777826537793 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 35% (27–51, n=78) | 49% (142–148, n=290) | 91% (187–19, n=206) | 67% (476–237, n=713) |
| Consensus PnL | $538 | $64K | $73K | $10.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #533 | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #980 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 62% (8 of 13 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) | 79% (50 of 63 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Culture −23 pts, n=11 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 51% of 597 at avg 47¢, ROI +5% | 95% of 184 at avg 71¢, ROI +17% | 98% of 494 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 42% (won 10% of 253) | 0% | 11% (won 87% of 52) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 10% (won 37% of 60) | 9% (won 81% of 16) | 34% (won 98% of 169) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 12% (won 74% of 72) | 29% (won 92% of 53) | 34% (won 99% of 170) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 36% (won 95% of 212) | 63% (won 97% of 115) | 21% (won 100% of 103) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | EMCSQ | theta-thunberg | 0xc1a9273b15a17d21AF09DddB42b9239B93D4e2Db-1777826537793 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $1.6K | — | No $18K |