PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
EMCSQqidao001ColdW0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188
Record (consensus markets)35% (27–51, n=78)no settled market66% (1754–900, n=2654)no settled market
Consensus PnL$538—$234K—
Tracked aswas PM monthly #533PM monthly #354was PM monthly #893was PM monthly #715
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position0% (0 of 1 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NHL +4 pts n=195, ROI +5%
Weakest topic——Soccer −1 pts, n=308College Basketball −13 pts, n=165
Settled positions, side won—56% of 126 at avg 46¢, ROI +4%58% of 2425 at avg 56¢, ROI +4%49% of 1307 at avg 50¢, ROI −2%
Entries under 30¢—14% (won 0% of 18)22% (won 12% of 542)0% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢—37% (won 53% of 47)20% (won 42% of 483)42% (won 46% of 553)
Entries 50–70¢—48% (won 74% of 61)22% (won 63% of 525)57% (won 51% of 744)
Entries 70¢ and up—0%36% (won 92% of 875)0% (won 100% of 4)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.