PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
EMCSQdzsibenajaccllar0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188
Record (consensus markets)35% (27–51, n=78)87% (137–20, n=157)47% (395–447, n=842)no settled market
Consensus PnL$538$130K$11K—
Tracked aswas PM monthly #533Hand-pickedwas PM monthly #1000was PM monthly #715
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position100% (17 of 17 open)0% (0 of 1 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NHL +4 pts n=195, ROI +5%
Weakest topic———College Basketball −13 pts, n=165
Settled positions, side won—89% of 195 at avg 85¢, ROI +3%98% of 400 at avg 56¢, ROI +39%49% of 1307 at avg 50¢, ROI −2%
Entries under 30¢—5% (won 0% of 10)6% (won 87% of 23)0% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢—2% (won 0% of 4)28% (won 97% of 112)42% (won 46% of 553)
Entries 50–70¢—7% (won 92% of 13)44% (won 99% of 177)57% (won 51% of 744)
Entries 70¢ and up—86% (won 96% of 168)22% (won 100% of 88)0% (won 100% of 4)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.