PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
EMCSQ0xE5F0AE9cc9aeF77ae3c2A64c9E69caa3F335dc1d-17735315207310x50f7NiNo999
Record (consensus markets)35% (27–51, n=78)46% (758–875, n=1633)85% (52325–9456, n=61781)89% (522–66, n=588)
Consensus PnL$538$922K$562K$9.9M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #533was PM monthly #746PM monthly #312was PM monthly #985
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position86% (6 of 7 open)33% (1 of 3 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Crypto +7 pts n=40567, ROI +2%
  • Soccer +42 pts n=167, ROI +43%
  • Tennis +39 pts n=201, ROI +40%
  • NBA +51 pts n=16, ROI +50%
Weakest topic—Mentions −15 pts, n=46——
Settled positions, side won—58% of 1264 at avg 42¢, ROI +13%92% of 40567 at avg 84¢, ROI +2%90% of 502 at avg 50¢, ROI +42%
Entries under 30¢—22% (won 37% of 274)11% (won 23% of 4399)7% (won 81% of 37)
Entries 30–50¢—44% (won 57% of 556)3% (won 100% of 1101)39% (won 85% of 197)
Entries 50–70¢—33% (won 72% of 419)7% (won 100% of 2713)49% (won 94% of 244)
Entries 70¢ and up—1% (won 93% of 15)80% (won 100% of 32354)5% (won 96% of 24)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.