PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
EMCSQ0xE5F0AE9cc9aeF77ae3c2A64c9E69caa3F335dc1d-17735315207310x50f7BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)35% (27–51, n=78)46% (758–875, n=1633)85% (52325–9456, n=61781)67% (476–237, n=713)
Consensus PnL$538$922K$562K$10.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #533was PM monthly #746PM monthly #312PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position86% (6 of 7 open)33% (1 of 3 open)79% (50 of 63 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Crypto +7 pts n=40567, ROI +2%
  • NFL +50 pts n=112, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=63, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=275, ROI +38%
Weakest topic—Mentions −15 pts, n=46——
Settled positions, side won—58% of 1264 at avg 42¢, ROI +13%92% of 40567 at avg 84¢, ROI +2%98% of 494 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢—22% (won 37% of 274)11% (won 23% of 4399)11% (won 87% of 52)
Entries 30–50¢—44% (won 57% of 556)3% (won 100% of 1101)34% (won 98% of 169)
Entries 50–70¢—33% (won 72% of 419)7% (won 100% of 2713)34% (won 99% of 170)
Entries 70¢ and up—1% (won 93% of 15)80% (won 100% of 32354)21% (won 100% of 103)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketEMCSQ0xE5F0AE9cc9aeF77ae3c2A64c9E69caa3F335dc1d-17735315207310x50f7BreakTheBank
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $17K—Yes $244K
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
—No $12K—No $36K