PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Devilswithjoysticktimesoft0xb46ac9ec39dbb68d76ab82aa16ddae7c400717fcSSCCAAMM
Record (consensus markets)no settled market94% (46–3, n=49)50% (1–1, n=2)67% (88–43, n=131)
Consensus PnL—-$4.1K$149$9.5K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #991PM monthly #641was PM monthly #1000PM monthly #960
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic———Mentions −14 pts, n=13
Settled positions, side won78% of 9 at avg 39¢, ROI +60%71% of 7 at avg 74¢, ROI −23%50% of 2 at avg 50¢, ROI +2%62% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI −10%
Entries under 30¢22% (won 100% of 2)14% (won 0% of 1)50% (won 0% of 1)14% (won 6% of 16)
Entries 30–50¢56% (won 60% of 5)14% (won 100% of 1)0%19% (won 48% of 21)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 100% of 1)0%0%38% (won 62% of 42)
Entries 70¢ and up11% (won 100% of 1)71% (won 80% of 5)50% (won 100% of 1)29% (won 100% of 32)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.