PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Devilswithjoystick0x17C4f7E008fE22D69865F73f29329B6E76B92471-1780774412121DreamingKIngaveragejoetraders
Record (consensus markets)no settled market89% (8–1, n=9)89% (47–6, n=53)59% (315–216, n=531)
Consensus PnL—$325K-$24K$53K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #991was PM monthly #602PM monthly #662PM monthly #323
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position100% (5 of 5 open)56% (10 of 18 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • MLB +33 pts n=10, ROI +28%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won78% of 9 at avg 39¢, ROI +60%86% of 43 at avg 57¢, ROI +30%67% of 6 at avg 92¢, ROI −80%100% of 225 at avg 65¢, ROI +40%
Entries under 30¢22% (won 100% of 2)2% (won 0% of 1)0%6% (won 100% of 14)
Entries 30–50¢56% (won 60% of 5)14% (won 100% of 6)0%16% (won 100% of 37)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 100% of 1)77% (won 85% of 33)0%29% (won 100% of 66)
Entries 70¢ and up11% (won 100% of 1)7% (won 100% of 3)100% (won 67% of 6)48% (won 100% of 108)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.