PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Devilswithjoystickppku6298Little-big0xb46ac9ec39dbb68d76ab82aa16ddae7c400717fc
Record (consensus markets)no settled market47% (39–44, n=83)58% (13635–10040, n=23675)50% (1–1, n=2)
Consensus PnL—$52K$16K$149
Tracked aswas PM monthly #991was PM monthly #958was PM monthly #983was PM monthly #1000
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position20% (2 of 10 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • Soccer +39 pts n=18, ROI +44%
  • NBA +28 pts n=30, ROI +20%
  • Crypto +48 pts n=7102, ROI +48%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won78% of 9 at avg 39¢, ROI +60%81% of 57 at avg 49¢, ROI +26%100% of 7102 at avg 52¢, ROI +48%50% of 2 at avg 50¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢22% (won 100% of 2)2% (won 100% of 1)1% (won 84% of 94)50% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢56% (won 60% of 5)60% (won 76% of 34)32% (won 100% of 2245)0%
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 100% of 1)37% (won 86% of 21)63% (won 100% of 4500)0%
Entries 70¢ and up11% (won 100% of 1)2% (won 100% of 1)4% (won 100% of 263)50% (won 100% of 1)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.