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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
Add:wr0ngw4yb3tt0rGoalLineGhost0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-17663175411880xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592NiNo999BreakTheBank
| Devilswithjoystick | 0xbe044D601FBe89c9E87eACFa57d813A31F783C60-1767997097941 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 89% (48–6, n=54) | 49% (7263–7633, n=14896) |
| Consensus PnL | — | -$54K | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #991 | Hand-picked | Hand-picked |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 93% (13 of 14 open) | 60% (86 of 144 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | Geopolitics −1 pts, n=96 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 84% of 190 at avg 84¢, ROI −2% | 93% of 19633 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 6% (won 8% of 12) | 10% (won 52% of 2020) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 3% (won 40% of 5) | 22% (won 93% of 4355) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 9% (won 56% of 18) | 37% (won 99% of 7260) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 82% (won 95% of 155) | 31% (won 100% of 5998) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.