PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
DOG-UndressedVersionklondsainttroplaybeachboy4
Record (consensus markets)84% (900–173, n=1073)71% (5–2, n=7)71% (10–4, n=14)69% (43–19, n=62)
Consensus PnL$14K$35K$4.4M$5.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #190was PM monthly #503was PM monthly #11was PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 5 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topicEsports −2 pts, n=10——NBA −4 pts, n=96
Settled positions, side won77% of 597 at avg 75¢, ROI +1%100% of 5 at avg 36¢, ROI +70%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%57% of 216 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢15% (won 9% of 89)40% (won 100% of 2)0%3% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢5% (won 40% of 30)40% (won 100% of 2)50% (won 100% of 5)29% (won 57% of 63)
Entries 50–70¢8% (won 63% of 48)20% (won 100% of 1)50% (won 100% of 5)55% (won 53% of 118)
Entries 70¢ and up72% (won 95% of 430)0%0%13% (won 86% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.