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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
CustomTraderforrestgumperPIPIZIN
Record (consensus markets)no settled market46% (413–493, n=906)89% (361–45, n=406)
Consensus PnL—$61K$8.2K
Tracked asPM monthly #937PM monthly #498PM monthly #707
Sides with the consensus67% (6 of 9 open)0% (0 of 3 open)50% (3 of 6 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won—63% of 627 at avg 48¢, ROI +7%94% of 383 at avg 52¢, ROI +42%
Entries under 30¢—30% (won 23% of 185)2% (won 71% of 7)
Entries 30–50¢—19% (won 54% of 119)25% (won 94% of 95)
Entries 50–70¢—25% (won 83% of 157)73% (won 95% of 279)
Entries 70¢ and up—26% (won 95% of 166)1% (won 100% of 2)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketCustomTraderforrestgumperPIPIZIN
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $54Yes $575—