PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
CustomTradercalm919hasobidalellllllIIIIIIlIllllllIIIIIIlIllllllIIIIIIlI
Record (consensus markets)no settled market89% (226–28, n=254)67% (193–96, n=289)59% (795–543, n=1338)
Consensus PnL—$14K$9.0K$69K
Tracked asPM monthly #841PM monthly #748was PM monthly #987was PM monthly #636
Sides with the consensus75% (3 of 4 open)no open consensus position0% (0 of 1 open)100% (3 of 3 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic———NFL −2 pts, n=25
Settled positions, side won—92% of 239 at avg 71¢, ROI +22%67% of 283 at avg 64¢, ROI +3%59% of 1354 at avg 58¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢—0%0% (won 0% of 1)5% (won 23% of 64)
Entries 30–50¢—11% (won 69% of 26)6% (won 47% of 17)29% (won 45% of 390)
Entries 50–70¢—32% (won 93% of 76)61% (won 65% of 172)41% (won 60% of 558)
Entries 70¢ and up—57% (won 96% of 137)33% (won 75% of 93)25% (won 80% of 342)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.