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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Contestable-Parfait | Woohx | 0x9e8eddeb4a1261ba9c7530a0386202cb6c12d006 | LuckyWin | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 61% (103–67, n=170) | 63% (39–23, n=62) | 88% (693–98, n=791) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $195K | -$1.0K | $29K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #115 | PM monthly #660 | was PM monthly #997 | was PM monthly #579 |
| Sides with the consensus | 73% (78 of 107 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 80% (4 of 5 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| none with 10+ settled |
|
| Weakest topic | — | — | Tennis −2 pts, n=77 | NBA −7 pts, n=48 |
| Settled positions, side won | 71% of 14 at avg 64¢, ROI −13% | 63% of 164 at avg 56¢, ROI +9% | 96% of 77 at avg 98¢, ROI 0% | 88% of 738 at avg 88¢, ROI 0% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 0% of 4) | 14% (won 13% of 23) | 1% (won 0% of 1) | 7% (won 8% of 48) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 14% (won 100% of 2) | 18% (won 47% of 30) | 0% | 4% (won 44% of 32) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 0% | 37% (won 72% of 61) | 0% | 7% (won 56% of 48) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 57% (won 100% of 8) | 30% (won 86% of 50) | 99% (won 97% of 76) | 83% (won 99% of 610) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Contestable-Parfait | Woohx | 0x9e8eddeb4a1261ba9c7530a0386202cb6c12d006 | LuckyWin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $7.2K | — | — | Yes $2 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $134 | — | — | Yes $16 |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $51 | — | — | Yes $1 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $4.3K | — | — | Yes $1 |