← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Contestable-Parfait | melganis | qiu3 | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 61% (30–19, n=49) | 79% (1034–278, n=1312) | 89% (8–1, n=9) | 47% (125–143, n=268) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.3K | $56K | $32K | $19.3M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #236 | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #573 | was PM monthly #715 |
| Sides with the consensus | 73% (78 of 107 open) | 71% (29 of 41 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | — | Crypto −2 pts, n=71 | — | College Basketball −12 pts, n=163 |
| Settled positions, side won | 71% of 14 at avg 64¢, ROI −13% | 74% of 1660 at avg 69¢, ROI +2% | 98% of 43 at avg 57¢, ROI +37% | 50% of 1273 at avg 50¢, ROI −2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 0% of 4) | 20% (won 7% of 324) | 5% (won 100% of 2) | 0% (won 0% of 5) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 14% (won 100% of 2) | 6% (won 41% of 99) | 26% (won 91% of 11) | 42% (won 47% of 535) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 0% | 8% (won 70% of 125) | 56% (won 100% of 24) | 57% (won 51% of 729) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 57% (won 100% of 8) | 67% (won 97% of 1112) | 14% (won 100% of 6) | 0% (won 100% of 4) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Contestable-Parfait | melganis | qiu3 | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? same side · consensus No | No $1.2K | No $184 | — | — |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $834 | Yes $26 | — | — |