PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Contestable-Parfait0x9276a06e653bb5c9be6854ba37c8f9167f405786YABLAKObeheo123
Record (consensus markets)no settled market53% (26–23, n=49)79% (22–6, n=28)65% (28–15, n=43)
Consensus PnL—-$479$14K$40K
Tracked asPM monthly #115PM monthly #880was PM monthly #931was PM monthly #982
Sides with the consensus73% (78 of 107 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position33% (1 of 3 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Tennis −8 pts, n=62——
Settled positions, side won71% of 14 at avg 64¢, ROI −13%90% of 62 at avg 98¢, ROI 0%82% of 28 at avg 46¢, ROI +45%86% of 28 at avg 56¢, ROI +33%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 0% of 4)2% (won 0% of 1)7% (won 50% of 2)18% (won 40% of 5)
Entries 30–50¢14% (won 100% of 2)0%57% (won 88% of 16)14% (won 100% of 4)
Entries 50–70¢0%0%29% (won 88% of 8)36% (won 100% of 10)
Entries 70¢ and up57% (won 100% of 8)98% (won 92% of 61)7% (won 50% of 2)32% (won 89% of 9)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.