PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
CHAPUBARA0x50f70x77fa47189ddBA1eeFa3eA7d92a497e370807a23D-1776838051537BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)no settled market83% (37751–7791, n=45542)51% (33–32, n=65)67% (469–231, n=700)
Consensus PnL—$562K$25K$10.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #294PM monthly #319PM monthly #959PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position76% (53 of 70 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Crypto +7 pts n=28117, ROI +2%
  • NFL +50 pts n=107, ROI +51%
  • NBA +50 pts n=49, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=272, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—89% of 28117 at avg 81¢, ROI +2%69% of 29 at avg 34¢, ROI +42%97% of 471 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%
Entries under 30¢—14% (won 18% of 3904)41% (won 58% of 12)11% (won 87% of 52)
Entries 30–50¢—3% (won 100% of 787)34% (won 80% of 10)34% (won 98% of 162)
Entries 50–70¢—6% (won 100% of 1765)21% (won 67% of 6)33% (won 99% of 154)
Entries 70¢ and up—77% (won 100% of 21661)3% (won 100% of 1)22% (won 100% of 103)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.