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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BlackPeopleDontRecycle | Jan777 | brokemaxdegen | Wintermelongcr | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 69% (117–52, n=169) | 65% (43–23, n=66) | 93% (56–4, n=60) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $76K | $103K | -$9.2K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #846 | was PM monthly #966 | PM monthly #975 | PM monthly #598 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (5 of 5 open) | 100% (5 of 5 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (3 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −8 pts, n=55 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 80% of 166 at avg 80¢, ROI +1% | 100% of 104 at avg 73¢, ROI +26% | 67% of 70 at avg 59¢, ROI +12% | 100% of 6 at avg 79¢, ROI −65% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 0% of 5) | 0% | 7% (won 40% of 5) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 5% (won 25% of 8) | 9% (won 100% of 9) | 14% (won 30% of 10) | 17% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 14% (won 54% of 24) | 25% (won 100% of 26) | 54% (won 71% of 38) | 0% |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 78% (won 91% of 129) | 66% (won 100% of 69) | 24% (won 88% of 17) | 83% (won 100% of 5) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BlackPeopleDontRecycle | Jan777 | brokemaxdegen | Wintermelongcr |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $24K | No $121K | — | — |