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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BlackPeopleDontRecycle | shibagege | olegio | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 49% (157–166, n=323) | 49% (348–364, n=712) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $99K | $15K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #750 | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #886 |
| Sides with the consensus | 83% (5 of 6 open) | 100% (3 of 3 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −3 pts, n=127 |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 88% of 261 at avg 75¢, ROI +3% | 49% of 691 at avg 43¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 10% (won 56% of 25) | 19% (won 22% of 129) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 5% (won 75% of 12) | 50% (won 44% of 345) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 16% (won 86% of 43) | 25% (won 69% of 176) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 69% (won 93% of 181) | 6% (won 88% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BlackPeopleDontRecycle | shibagege | olegio |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? same side · consensus No | No $7.0K | No $121K | — |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $454 | No $51K | — |