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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BlackPeopleDontRecycle | shibagege | DaWinci | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 49% (157–166, n=323) | 67% (14–7, n=21) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $99K | $33K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #750 | Hand-picked | PM monthly #507 |
| Sides with the consensus | 83% (5 of 6 open) | 100% (3 of 3 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| none with 10+ settled |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 88% of 261 at avg 75¢, ROI +3% | 100% of 14 at avg 60¢, ROI +37% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 10% (won 56% of 25) | 7% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 5% (won 75% of 12) | 21% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 16% (won 86% of 43) | 36% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 69% (won 93% of 181) | 36% (won 100% of 5) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BlackPeopleDontRecycle | shibagege | DaWinci |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? same side · consensus No | No $7.0K | No $121K | — |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $454 | No $51K | — |