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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BlackPeopleDontRecycle | tryingout1 | brokemaxdegen | Lackvill | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 88% (50–7, n=57) | 65% (43–23, n=66) | 49% (98–103, n=201) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $13K | $103K | $4.5K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #846 | Hand-picked | PM monthly #975 | was PM monthly #968 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (5 of 5 open) | 100% (7 of 7 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −8 pts, n=55 | Elections −3 pts, n=18 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 80% of 166 at avg 80¢, ROI +1% | 87% of 116 at avg 83¢, ROI +4% | 67% of 70 at avg 59¢, ROI +12% | 60% of 195 at avg 52¢, ROI +11% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 0% of 5) | 8% (won 0% of 9) | 7% (won 40% of 5) | 20% (won 15% of 39) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 5% (won 25% of 8) | 2% (won 0% of 2) | 14% (won 30% of 10) | 19% (won 53% of 38) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 14% (won 54% of 24) | 7% (won 88% of 8) | 54% (won 71% of 38) | 37% (won 68% of 73) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 78% (won 91% of 129) | 84% (won 97% of 97) | 24% (won 88% of 17) | 23% (won 91% of 45) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BlackPeopleDontRecycle | tryingout1 | brokemaxdegen | Lackvill |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President before 2027? same side · consensus No | No $32K | No $4.8K | — | — |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $454 | No $9.8K | — | — |