Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
	Bear9011	Naichli	std0	0x75d1B199a96801338e67a6eFAa35C0028eA87A5F-1770658242710
Record (consensus markets)	no settled market	46% (604–706, n=1310)	95% (10382–509, n=10891)	49% (1212–1267, n=2479)
Consensus PnL	—	$81K	$34K	$60K
Tracked as	PM monthly #366	Hand-picked	was PM monthly #985	Hand-picked
Sides with the consensus	33% (1 of 3 open)	no open consensus position	no open consensus position	25% (3 of 12 open)
Strongest topics	not computed yet	Geopolitics +4 pts n=180, ROI +3% Esports +3 pts n=298, ROI −5% Tech +15 pts n=24, ROI +16%	Crypto +45 pts n=5979, ROI +46%	Geopolitics +9 pts n=198, ROI +10% Esports +16 pts n=35, ROI +22% Soccer +10 pts n=84, ROI +20%
Weakest topic	—	Mentions −1 pts, n=556	—	Politics −6 pts, n=74
Settled positions, side won	—	48% of 1738 at avg 47¢, ROI +1%	99% of 5979 at avg 53¢, ROI +46%	55% of 1049 at avg 50¢, ROI +8%
Entries under 30¢	—	36% (won 6% of 622)	1% (won 45% of 65)	24% (won 19% of 254)
Entries 30–50¢	—	14% (won 47% of 240)	15% (won 98% of 885)	23% (won 40% of 241)
Entries 50–70¢	—	20% (won 58% of 350)	78% (won 100% of 4649)	29% (won 70% of 304)
Entries 70¢ and up	—	30% (won 92% of 526)	6% (won 96% of 380)	24% (won 89% of 250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.