PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
AnonymousPerson0xb46ac9ec39dbb68d76ab82aa16ddae7c400717fcberlinskies0xdeff55f3132a313985035c34539e94da7b9178f8
Record (consensus markets)no settled market50% (1–1, n=2)58% (4742–3407, n=8149)95% (246–12, n=258)
Consensus PnL—$149$46K$128K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #256was PM monthly #1000PM monthly #299PM monthly #627
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position86% (6 of 7 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—50% of 2 at avg 50¢, ROI +2%98% of 1841 at avg 62¢, ROI +43%97% of 304 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢—50% (won 0% of 1)6% (won 91% of 115)6% (won 83% of 18)
Entries 30–50¢—0%21% (won 97% of 389)29% (won 97% of 88)
Entries 50–70¢—0%35% (won 99% of 643)63% (won 98% of 190)
Entries 70¢ and up—50% (won 100% of 1)38% (won 100% of 694)3% (won 100% of 8)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.