PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ABC12345654321rabadabadootexaskid0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188
Record (consensus markets)no settled market62% (13737–8492, n=22229)66% (367–187, n=554)47% (125–143, n=268)
Consensus PnL—$15K$7.0M$19.3M
Tracked asPM monthly #507was PM monthly #981was PM monthly #51was PM monthly #715
Sides with the consensus50% (2 of 4 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Crypto +32 pts n=7099, ROI +24%
  • NHL +5 pts n=186, ROI +6%
Weakest topic——College Basketball ±0 pts, n=29College Basketball −12 pts, n=163
Settled positions, side won—85% of 7099 at avg 53¢, ROI +24%75% of 566 at avg 53¢, ROI +19%50% of 1273 at avg 50¢, ROI −2%
Entries under 30¢—3% (won 17% of 210)1% (won 0% of 3)0% (won 0% of 5)
Entries 30–50¢—23% (won 82% of 1610)26% (won 68% of 148)42% (won 47% of 535)
Entries 50–70¢—71% (won 88% of 5012)69% (won 78% of 392)57% (won 51% of 729)
Entries 70¢ and up—4% (won 96% of 267)4% (won 87% of 23)0% (won 100% of 4)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.