PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ABC12345654321beheo123BreakTheBankNiNo999
Record (consensus markets)no settled market65% (28–15, n=43)67% (469–231, n=700)88% (488–65, n=553)
Consensus PnL—$40K$10.2M$9.7M
Tracked asPM monthly #507was PM monthly #982PM monthly #1was PM monthly #985
Sides with the consensus50% (2 of 4 open)33% (1 of 3 open)76% (53 of 70 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +50 pts n=107, ROI +51%
  • NBA +50 pts n=49, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=272, ROI +38%
  • Soccer +42 pts n=167, ROI +43%
  • Tennis +39 pts n=201, ROI +40%
  • NBA +51 pts n=16, ROI +50%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—86% of 28 at avg 56¢, ROI +33%97% of 471 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%90% of 502 at avg 50¢, ROI +42%
Entries under 30¢—18% (won 40% of 5)11% (won 87% of 52)7% (won 81% of 37)
Entries 30–50¢—14% (won 100% of 4)34% (won 98% of 162)39% (won 85% of 197)
Entries 50–70¢—36% (won 100% of 10)33% (won 99% of 154)49% (won 94% of 244)
Entries 70¢ and up—32% (won 89% of 9)22% (won 100% of 103)5% (won 96% of 24)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketABC12345654321beheo123BreakTheBankNiNo999
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $250—No $14K—