PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)no settled market59% (238–168, n=406)89% (211–26, n=237)49% (1212–1267, n=2479)
Consensus PnL—$1.0M$95K$60K
Tracked asPM monthly #152PM monthly #952was PM monthly #826Hand-picked
Sides with the consensus50% (1 of 2 open)0% (0 of 3 open)no open consensus position25% (3 of 12 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Soccer +47 pts n=238, ROI +47%
Weakest topic——Tennis −2 pts, n=107Politics −6 pts, n=74
Settled positions, side won—99% of 238 at avg 52¢, ROI +47%90% of 225 at avg 90¢, ROI +1%55% of 1049 at avg 50¢, ROI +8%
Entries under 30¢—0% (won 100% of 1)0%24% (won 19% of 254)
Entries 30–50¢—34% (won 100% of 82)1% (won 0% of 2)23% (won 40% of 241)
Entries 50–70¢—64% (won 99% of 152)4% (won 25% of 8)29% (won 70% of 304)
Entries 70¢ and up—1% (won 100% of 3)96% (won 93% of 215)24% (won 89% of 250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.