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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
Add:wr0ngw4yb3tt0rGoalLineGhost0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-17663175411880xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592RN1NiNo999
| 88888x88888 | Paul973973 | 0xe617861a96631d7cefdb1ad43e95c33b5946f251 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 92% (896–81, n=977) | 89% (382–46, n=428) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $3.2K | -$38K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #166 | was PM monthly #792 | was PM monthly #993 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (1 of 2 open) | 86% (18 of 21 open) | 83% (5 of 6 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | Finance −1 pts, n=38 | Weather −3 pts, n=104 |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 99% of 901 at avg 94¢, ROI +3% | 91% of 737 at avg 92¢, ROI 0% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 1% (won 40% of 5) | 1% (won 50% of 8) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 1% (won 50% of 6) | 1% (won 25% of 4) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 1% (won 100% of 5) | 3% (won 64% of 25) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 98% (won 99% of 885) | 95% (won 93% of 700) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 88888x88888 | Paul973973 | 0xe617861a96631d7cefdb1ad43e95c33b5946f251 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $5.8K | Yes $44K |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027? same side · consensus No | — | No $120 | No $10K |