PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)no settled market92% (896–81, n=977)59% (795–543, n=1338)
Consensus PnL—$3.2K$69K
Tracked asPM monthly #166was PM monthly #792was PM monthly #636
Sides with the consensus50% (1 of 2 open)85% (17 of 20 open)100% (3 of 3 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—Finance −1 pts, n=38NFL −2 pts, n=25
Settled positions, side won—99% of 901 at avg 94¢, ROI +3%59% of 1354 at avg 58¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢—1% (won 40% of 5)5% (won 23% of 64)
Entries 30–50¢—1% (won 50% of 6)29% (won 45% of 390)
Entries 50–70¢—1% (won 100% of 5)41% (won 60% of 558)
Entries 70¢ and up—98% (won 99% of 885)25% (won 80% of 342)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.