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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
7ViziCapitaleclassifieddenizzSineNooneEI
Record (consensus markets)100% (2–0, n=2)59% (242–170, n=412)70% (207–87, n=294)88% (584–76, n=660)
Consensus PnL-$97$783K$2.3M$1.0M
Tracked asPM monthly #976PM monthly #340PM monthly #151PM monthly #110
Sides with the consensus75% (3 of 4 open)70% (19 of 27 open)93% (25 of 27 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—Elections −2 pts, n=101Politics −2 pts, n=16—
Settled positions, side won—51% of 334 at avg 49¢, ROI −2%64% of 245 at avg 59¢, ROI +7%92% of 511 at avg 55¢, ROI +33%
Entries under 30¢—46% (won 4% of 152)26% (won 6% of 63)5% (won 83% of 23)
Entries 30–50¢—4% (won 47% of 15)12% (won 57% of 30)36% (won 88% of 182)
Entries 50–70¢—7% (won 78% of 23)13% (won 66% of 32)44% (won 93% of 224)
Entries 70¢ and up—43% (won 98% of 144)49% (won 96% of 120)16% (won 99% of 82)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market7ViziCapitaleclassifieddenizzSineNooneEI
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $12No $40K—
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $10K——Yes $19K
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $2.3KYes $25K—
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $213Yes $11K—
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
same side · consensus No
—No $13KNo $251K—
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
same side · consensus No
—No $469No $1.7K—