PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
241532532432halanddd123franeotb
Record (consensus markets)no settled market49% (92–96, n=188)65% (48–26, n=74)
Consensus PnL—$10K$24K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #994was PM monthly #399Hand-picked
Sides with the consensus46% (11 of 24 open)no open consensus position33% (1 of 3 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won—79% of 170 at avg 72¢, ROI +7%97% of 147 at avg 67¢, ROI +24%
Entries under 30¢—0%7% (won 70% of 10)
Entries 30–50¢—4% (won 29% of 7)12% (won 100% of 17)
Entries 50–70¢—41% (won 72% of 69)31% (won 98% of 45)
Entries 70¢ and up—55% (won 88% of 94)51% (won 100% of 75)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.