PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
241532532432penguin1125R88N
Record (consensus markets)no settled market47% (118–133, n=251)88% (98–13, n=111)
Consensus PnL—-$29K$213K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #994PM monthly #710was PM monthly #458
Sides with the consensus46% (11 of 24 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Soccer +54 pts n=11, ROI +53%
  • Esports +24 pts n=126, ROI +19%
  • NFL +14 pts n=14, ROI +28%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won—76% of 156 at avg 53¢, ROI +23%100% of 69 at avg 55¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢—9% (won 57% of 14)6% (won 100% of 4)
Entries 30–50¢—37% (won 68% of 57)36% (won 100% of 25)
Entries 50–70¢—38% (won 83% of 60)43% (won 100% of 30)
Entries 70¢ and up—16% (won 88% of 25)14% (won 100% of 10)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.