PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
241532532432aviatotomatosauce3
Record (consensus markets)no settled market87% (1838–263, n=2101)67% (6–3, n=9)
Consensus PnL—$205K-$2.9K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #994PM monthly #976 + pinnedwas PM monthly #879
Sides with the consensus46% (11 of 24 open)97% (61 of 63 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Geopolitics −1 pts, n=418—
Settled positions, side won—89% of 2492 at avg 87¢, ROI +2%100% of 4 at avg 43¢, ROI +17%
Entries under 30¢—9% (won 8% of 213)50% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢—1% (won 27% of 30)25% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢—2% (won 66% of 44)0%
Entries 70¢ and up—88% (won 98% of 2205)25% (won 100% of 1)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.