PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xF8164A94e27CdCeD0cC975e21308fB099B2D0433-1772692168144beachboy4sainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)66% (132–68, n=200)69% (43–19, n=62)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL$23K$5.8M$4.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #487was PM monthly #24was PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)100% (2 of 2 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic—NBA −6 pts, n=91—
Settled positions, side won—57% of 211 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢—3% (won 17% of 6)0%
Entries 30–50¢—29% (won 56% of 62)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢—54% (won 52% of 114)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up—14% (won 86% of 29)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.