PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-17764292105920xb46ac9ec39dbb68d76ab82aa16ddae7c400717fchumbleboyb2d0
Record (consensus markets)92% (701–63, n=764)50% (1–1, n=2)67% (386–194, n=580)50% (1–1, n=2)
Consensus PnL$14.3M$149$172K$144K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #999was PM monthly #1000PM monthly #256Hand-picked
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)no open consensus position38% (3 of 8 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won99% of 731 at avg 59¢, ROI +42%50% of 2 at avg 50¢, ROI +2%69% of 615 at avg 51¢, ROI +21%80% of 10 at avg 86¢, ROI +8%
Entries under 30¢2% (won 100% of 14)50% (won 0% of 1)5% (won 47% of 30)0%
Entries 30–50¢15% (won 97% of 113)0%42% (won 60% of 256)0%
Entries 50–70¢65% (won 99% of 477)0%45% (won 75% of 279)0%
Entries 70¢ and up17% (won 100% of 127)50% (won 100% of 1)8% (won 92% of 50)100% (won 80% of 10)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.