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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| supersmard | 0x930261a4741cfa67169bb254d05fd225a7286924 | NIULAI4 | Kangta8585 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 62% (37–23, n=60) | 70% (77–33, n=110) | 93% (7447–566, n=8013) | 67% (1055–511, n=1566) |
| Consensus PnL | $80K | $11K | $103K | $350K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #368 | was PM monthly #963 | PM monthly #353 | was PM monthly #863 |
| Sides with the consensus | 39% (7 of 18 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
|
|
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | College Basketball −4 pts, n=55 |
| Settled positions, side won | 73% of 60 at avg 44¢, ROI +18% | 66% of 87 at avg 65¢, ROI +5% | 99% of 4923 at avg 88¢, ROI +13% | 67% of 2102 at avg 58¢, ROI +8% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 32% (won 37% of 19) | 2% (won 50% of 2) | 1% (won 17% of 59) | 4% (won 26% of 81) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 73% of 15) | 8% (won 43% of 7) | 1% (won 86% of 42) | 24% (won 53% of 507) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 32% (won 100% of 19) | 48% (won 69% of 42) | 3% (won 96% of 139) | 50% (won 70% of 1052) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 12% (won 100% of 7) | 41% (won 67% of 36) | 95% (won 100% of 4683) | 22% (won 84% of 462) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.