PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
supersmardLudotryasskaticklepickles444Kangta8585
Record (consensus markets)62% (37–23, n=60)65% (34–18, n=52)89% (8–1, n=9)67% (1055–511, n=1566)
Consensus PnL$80K$3.3K$25K$350K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #368was PM monthly #891PM monthly #666was PM monthly #863
Sides with the consensus39% (7 of 18 open)no open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic———College Basketball −4 pts, n=55
Settled positions, side won73% of 60 at avg 44¢, ROI +18%88% of 41 at avg 74¢, ROI +14%100% of 9 at avg 66¢, ROI +9%67% of 2102 at avg 58¢, ROI +8%
Entries under 30¢32% (won 37% of 19)0%0%4% (won 26% of 81)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 73% of 15)10% (won 25% of 4)11% (won 100% of 1)24% (won 53% of 507)
Entries 50–70¢32% (won 100% of 19)32% (won 92% of 13)33% (won 100% of 3)50% (won 70% of 1052)
Entries 70¢ and up12% (won 100% of 7)59% (won 96% of 24)56% (won 100% of 5)22% (won 84% of 462)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.