PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
MLJBASEBALL0xc1acc1bredxiaohovistomaradona
Record (consensus markets)61% (110–71, n=181)93% (28–2, n=30)65% (20–11, n=31)67% (6–3, n=9)
Consensus PnL$23K-$3.6K$9.6K$13K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #811was PM monthly #642was PM monthly #975was PM monthly #281
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 2 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • MLB +42 pts n=111, ROI +41%
  • NBA +28 pts n=22, ROI +31%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won99% of 111 at avg 57¢, ROI +41%100% of 27 at avg 91¢, ROI +9%89% of 28 at avg 69¢, ROI +15%100% of 6 at avg 51¢, ROI +49%
Entries under 30¢0%0%4% (won 100% of 1)0%
Entries 30–50¢23% (won 96% of 26)0%14% (won 75% of 4)50% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 50–70¢70% (won 100% of 78)4% (won 100% of 1)21% (won 83% of 6)50% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 70¢ and up6% (won 100% of 7)96% (won 100% of 26)61% (won 94% of 17)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.