PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
MLJBASEBALL0xc1acc10x7E2eca4FDc6Df066a3f50054A8824485fb3cB8d3-1777503653286BlackMoney7
Record (consensus markets)61% (110–71, n=181)93% (28–2, n=30)63% (395–236, n=631)66% (21–11, n=32)
Consensus PnL$23K-$3.6K$1.0K$23K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #811was PM monthly #642PM monthly #995PM monthly #902
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 2 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • MLB +42 pts n=111, ROI +41%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won99% of 111 at avg 57¢, ROI +41%100% of 27 at avg 91¢, ROI +9%58% of 379 at avg 51¢, ROI +1%90% of 20 at avg 49¢, ROI +39%
Entries under 30¢0%0%1% (won 20% of 5)10% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢23% (won 96% of 26)0%70% (won 56% of 266)35% (won 71% of 7)
Entries 50–70¢70% (won 100% of 78)4% (won 100% of 1)22% (won 56% of 85)50% (won 100% of 10)
Entries 70¢ and up6% (won 100% of 7)96% (won 100% of 26)6% (won 91% of 23)5% (won 100% of 1)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.