PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)no settled market64% (381–212, n=593)63% (90–52, n=142)65% (34–18, n=52)
Consensus PnL—$19K-$4.2K$224K
Tracked asPM monthly #749was PM monthly #597was PM monthly #809was PM monthly #403
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position40% (2 of 5 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
  • Soccer +36 pts n=38, ROI +34%
  • NBA +24 pts n=21, ROI +7%
Weakest topic—Soccer −1 pts, n=372——
Settled positions, side won—62% of 378 at avg 63¢, ROI +3%76% of 133 at avg 70¢, ROI 0%77% of 78 at avg 45¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢—4% (won 35% of 17)1% (won 0% of 1)6% (won 20% of 5)
Entries 30–50¢—9% (won 34% of 35)8% (won 36% of 11)73% (won 86% of 57)
Entries 50–70¢—52% (won 59% of 196)39% (won 63% of 52)21% (won 63% of 16)
Entries 70¢ and up—34% (won 78% of 130)52% (won 93% of 69)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.